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Northwestern Michigan College Explaining and Analyzing Iranian FP Assessment

Northwestern Michigan College Explaining and Analyzing Iranian FP Assessment

ANSWER

Step 3b: Identifying Importance

You also mentioned using a second copy of the correlation matrix to indicate which factors you believe are the most powerful in each comparison.

Answers to the Questions:

  1. Highly Correlated Factors and Insights: Based on your assessment, it seems that American Foreign Policy and Regional Threat and Balance of Power are the most highly correlated factors. This suggests that external influences significantly impact Iranian foreign policy decisions. This insight has implications for explaining Iranian foreign policy. It implies that to understand and deal with Iran effectively, international policymakers should focus on engaging with Iran diplomatically and addressing regional power dynamics.
  2. Most Important Factors: According to your assessment, American Foreign Policy, Regional Threat and Balance of Power, and International Pressure are the most important factors. This reaffirms the importance of external factors in shaping Iranian behavior. Moving forward, efforts to understand Iranian behavior should prioritize understanding how international pressure and regional dynamics influence their actions.
  3. Evolution of Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program: From your analysis, it appears that the technological factor (Iranian Technology Development) did not rank as highly important as other factors. This suggests that the progress or lack thereof in Iran’s nuclear weapons program is more influenced by external factors like foreign policy and international pressure rather than just technological capacity. This could mean that Iran’s decisions regarding its nuclear program are more contingent on international relations and diplomatic negotiations than technological capability alone. The US and the international community do have influence over Iran’s nuclear program, as external engagement and diplomatic efforts can play a significant role in shaping Iran’s decisions in this regard.

Overall Analysis:

Your assessment highlights the importance of external factors in shaping Iranian foreign policy and decisions related to their nuclear program. It suggests that international engagement, regional dynamics, and diplomatic efforts are crucial for understanding and dealing with Iran effectively. Additionally, your observation about the role of external forces in compensating for technological limitations is insightful, showcasing the interplay between various factors.

To create a more organized and focused response, you might want to refine and structure your explanations for each question, providing clear insights and implications drawn from your analysis.

Northwestern Michigan College Explaining and Analyzing Iranian FP Assessment

QUESTION

Description

You will use the attached spreadsheet to complete two assessments. In the spreadsheet you will see that I have created two copies of a “correlation matrix” of the 8 most popular broad factors that are shaping Iranian foreign policy today.

In Step 3a you will ask yourselves the question: are each of these factors related to the others? To do this in rigorous fashion you will use the correlation matrix to examine each bivariate relationship – obviously just in a gut sense way, not a quantitative one. This step is super useful when you have – as we have in this case – a ton of potentially interesting variables at work. REalizing that some of them are highly correlated can help you decide what things to keep, ditch, combine, etc.

In Step 3b you will then ask yourselves the question: which of these factors are the most important? To do this you will use a second copy of the correlation matrix, this time simply indicating which of the two factors in each comparison you think is the most powerful. Again, when you have a bunch of stuff flying around taking this structured approach can really help.

Finally, once you are done with the spreadsheet, answer these questions in a word document.

1. Which factors on the board are most highly correlated, and what insights does that suggest both for explaining Iranian foreign policy but also from the international perspective of creating policy to deal with Iran?

2. Which 2 or 3 factors on the board do you think are most important based on your assessment? Again, what does that suggest re efforts to understand Iranian behavior moving forward?

3. What do the key factors you’ve identified suggest to you about the evolution (or lack thereof) of Iran’s nuclear weapons program? What is going to determine whether that happens? Is it something the US and international community have much influence over, or not?

This is another answer:Through the double skimming process through the “gut filter”, oddly, I could line up them in a pretty decent manner. American Foreign Policy (14pts)Regional Threat and Balance of Power (12pts)International Pressure (10pts)Islamism & Identity Politics (8pts)Domestic Politics/Regime Type (6pts)Iranian Technology Development (4pts)Iranian Nationalism (2pts)Domestic Economy (0pts)Even though my first picked factors such as threat perception (observing fall of the anti-US regime) and soft power failed to survive, I am happy to see this result and can’t wait to see if my mates have a similar outcome. On Questions: 1+2) Which factors on the board are most highly correlated, and what insights does that suggest both for explaining Iranian foreign policy but also from the international perspective of creating policy to deal with Iran? Which 2 or 3 factors on the board do you think are most important based on your assessment? Again, what does that suggest regarding efforts to understand Iranian behavior moving forward?American foreign policy and regional power balance. This suggests that Iranian foreign policy would be affected swayed by external force rather than an internal force. So, addressing Iranian foreign policy requires consistent outside engagement from the US, regional and international allies. (“International Pressure” also ranked 3rd place) And It should be seen as difficult to expect democratization to be achieved internally by voluntary change.3)  what do the key factors you’ve identified suggest to you about the evolution (or lack thereof) of Iran’s nuclear weapons program? What is going to determine whether that happens? Is it something the US and the international community have much influence over, or not?From the result, it’s technology did not matter as I expected at the previous brainstorming stage. Assuming that the development of Nuke is a part of the foreign policy of Iran, its progress (sometimes backward) would have been also affected by foreign factors. In a way, this means that a lack of technology can be compensated by outsourcing whenever external force is benign with Iranian favor. And yes, the US and international community have more works to do with Iranian Nuke. _//

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